The attached Electoral map, dated 9/20/12, shows who's leading in each state, with no toss ups.
Obummer has 332 votes, or 62 more than the 270 needed to win. But there is hope all over the map as you can see.
We all know Romney has to win at least one of Ohio and Florida, and he really needs them both. There's a way to survive not winning both of them, but it is an ugly and circuitous route (ie. need ing all of IA, CO, NV, and WI)
However, if Romney can win both Florida and Ohio (+47), and pick off a couple more, he can win.
The best route I see on the current map with no toss ups is to win:
Florida (+29) Romney at 235
Ohio (+18)) Romney at 253
Virginia (+13) Romney at 266
Wisconsin (+10) Romney at 276 or
Iowa (+6) Romney at 272 or
Colorado (+9) Romney at 275 or
Nevada (+6) Romney at 272 or
Even if Michigan (16) and Pennsylvania (20) are lost--and that is not an absolute given yet--Romney has plenty of other routes to get there.
I can't imagine Romney giving back any states that he currently leads in. Dick Morris likes to say all the undecideds break for the challenger, and I don't see Romney losing in Missouri (10), North Carolina (15), or any others that lean Romney. And Obama's % in several states where he leads is still under 50%, so who knows about some of those.
Anyway, don't lose faith. Still a long way to go, 3 debates, including Paul Ryan vs. Biden, and more. Do your part to help Romney win Wisconsin, and those 10 electoral votes may be the difference.
--WRD
Obama vs. Romney Create Your Own Electoral Map