Not only is it 49-47 Romney, 3% are undecided. As we all know, historically, the undecideds break for the challenger. Assuming the last 1% who prefer another candidate ultimately do waste their vote, that leaves 99%. Even if only 2% of the undecideds break for Romney (not all 3%), that puts Romney ahead 51%-48%, or thereabouts. If that holds, Romney's 47% strategy will have proved spot on and prophetic.
If you saw O'Reilly tonight 10/9), you saw that the guy who runs the Suffolk University poll has painted Florida, Virginia, and North Carolina RED, and is pulling operations from those 3 states. That is near death for Obummer; he won all three in 2008. He also said that Colorado will be RED, and while still very close, Ohio as well. That would be more than enough for Romney, but there's still Nevada (now tied), Wisconsin, Iowa, New Hampshire, perhaps even Michigan and Pennsylvania, both now well within the margin of error. Dear Leader won them all in 2008. Of course, he even won Indiana before Hope & Change was proven a lie...
By the time the great Paul Ryan dismantles 69-year old Joe "we're going to raise your taxes a trillion dollars" Biden on October 11th, this thing could be a runaway train.
Oh by the way, what the hell is the matter with Minnesota? Why are the never even mentioned?
--WRD
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Daily Swing State Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™