Romney Leads in liberal leaning WaPo/ABC poll

Again, you can get a lot of great information in a 140-character tweet:


Romney takes a one point lead in the WaPo/ABC tracking poll, 49-48. Romney up 7 w/independents. Sample is D+5 (was D+7 in 08, even in 04/10)



In non-Twitter-ese, Romney leads despite a weighted Democrat sample of +5.  The pollster adds that the actual Dem turnout in the historic '08 campaign was D+7, and was even in the 2010 midterm year.

Most everyone agrees the Dem turnout will not be D+7, but these left-leaning polls still tend to oversample leftties, hence the D+5.  Despite the oversampling of Dems, Romney is still ahead. If it's D+4, the lead increases. If it's D+2, we could win in a landslide.

If we can just stay close or even to the Dims in turnout, we will win.